Wyoming results

An 18-point win for Obama, on a turnout 10x that of four years ago.

UPDATED See below

With two small counties (both surrounded by Obama territory) yet to report, Obama has an 18-point lead in Wyoming.

Turnout is an order of magnitude greater than four years ago.

Delegates should split 7-5, as expected, leaving the math unchanged.

And it looks as if the “kitchen sink” effect is starting to fade, or the pushback is starting to work. Both Gallup and Rasmussen tracking results, which switched from Obama up a few points to Clinton up a few points between Friday and Wednesday, are now back to even. No bounce from winning Ohio and Texas.

Update Teton County came in 80-20 for Obama. His final overall margin was 23 points, and might wind up +4 rather than the +2 previously estimated. If so, The Math just got that much harder for the Clinton campaign.

Apparently losing by 23 points counts as winning in Hillaryland: Maggie Williams says she’s “thrilled.” Just imagine how happy she’ll be when Obama clinches the nomination.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com